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jon fox's Articles in Casino

  • DD - keeping track of all cards remaining
    Aside from lucky ladies etc, DD only has 104 cards.
    Say you could keep track of all cards remaining?
    e.g. (5) Two cards / (6) Three cards / 2 (Four cards) etc.
    How much of an advantage does that information provide?
    How would you use this information along with penetration?
    How much of an advantage does it provide along with a Hi-Low balance count.
    This is how decent BJ computers work as well using advanced counting systems to pull a higher advantage than normal counting methods. However, I think you would need to be a genius to be able to do all the math in your head as well as keep all the different counts and unfortunately the use of computers is illegal in the US.
    I think that anyone with a decent mind could memorize all the cards. It would take a few years to perfect, but it is possible. Then you could just memorize the math. For example the you know the dealer has a 37% chance of busting and you if you hit and get an 8 or higher, then you buts. well if you know exactly how many 8s and higher there are then you know the probability of b
  • Shuffle Tracking
    The reality is that even though most dealers seem accurate - they would need to be beyond realistically precise to use map tracking like this. No matter how accurate the dealer, if you don't use your eye to make adjustments, you ain't gonna win and very few people have the patience to train their eye to be as accurate as it needs to be.
    Small errors shuffle tracking cost big bucks. If you are interested in shuffle tracking start off with Snyder's Cookbook then read
  • Research on Spanish 21
    I have tried Spanish 21 in a real casino. The thread coming back up reminded me of what I'd said here previously about not having played; so I wanted to expand upon those comments.
    I played in Atlantic City last week. The house stood on all 17s.
    It was the end o
  • To beat the continuous shuffle machines(KING)
    I have found that the CSM machines in Europe, like other shuffles, demonstrate card repeating phenomenon, if you have a loaded table, with all the players adhering to basic strategy. Take Amsterdam cCasino for example I made a killing there. They have about 20 tables all of them packed, and most of the players consistently employ basic strategy. Also the tables are multi-a
  • Do online casinos cheat you
    They might use different software for the fun games as these are not covered by gambling legislation so it is easier for you to win, sort of luring the unaware. I very much doubt that any online casino would use a program that is more unfair than the standard game for real play though. As scott says they dont need to. They have a built in edge already!
    i never trust online games of skill against the house. Poker is fine, but blackjack and roulette are casino only games for me.
  • Taking coin flips with a large stack
    This is not a large stack. Always know your maneuverability with various stack sizes. For instance with less than 10bbs you can only push or fold. When you are in the 15bb vicinity you have reraise fold equity, meaning that when someone opens for a raise that you still have the ability to make them fold their marginal or junk hands with a shove. Even 12bbs may not be enough to force a player to fold to
  • Rules of Omaha
    Accidentally entered a Pot Limit Omahah Hi-Lo $10+r the other night on Party (thought it was holdem) - didn't really know the rules to begin with so had a quick look on the net.

    Ended up having a cracker of a tourney... I played very conservatively (as I wasn't sure what I was doing) and only played what looked to
  • AA Raise or Slowly Play
    I think these are all good that you can stack an opponent with an over pair, but after the flop playing AA for stacks is also pretty bad in a LIMPED pot. K4 can hit 2 pair or pocket 2's can hit their set, just why are we allowing these players to see the flop for free? I can't count the number of times that the
  • folding KK preflop to RAISE / ALL-IN
    There are two side to this choice.
    First, is the mathematical/tactical side. Strictly from this side, its a call per my post above. It is not a gambol to place your money in the pot as a massive favorite with your villain only having 2 or 3 outs. That is the definition of +EV.
    Second, is the mental/strategic side. If getting it in winning ~84% of the time versus MP's range and losing is going to make you either lose a subst
  • How do you deal w/ a table full of call stations who WONT fold
    1) Isolate players with raises - sorry but bad players will not isolate.
    2) Play strong starting hands - sorry but only a few hands don't have to improve to win
    3) No bluffing - this is probably correct in most instances
    4) Value bet - sorry but against more than one person a value bet is an idiot bet
    5) Rebuy as needed - sorry but your buy in should handle the variance of the table if you don't run into several bad beats
  • Rookie Freerolls
    There are two things you want to look at when you join the tourny (or preferably, before): how quickly do the blinds move up, and what is the payout structure like relative the size of the field.

    The faster the blinds move, the less you can afford to wait on true premium starting hands. Most freeroll MTTs follow a "turbo" structure, which does necessitate ge
  • How To beat passive pre-flop super aggressive postflop players
    Against this type of player I tend to:
    - overlimp (limp behind) more than I otherwise would
    - raise less frequently
    - raise to a smaller amount (say 3bb as apposed to 4bb)
    - c-bet less - mix up my flop lines more. If I'm going to c-bet less I'm also going to check more flops when I do make a hand.
    Position will help a lot, because you can check behind on a lot of flops (after you raise PF), and this way only the turn and river are available for betting, so you won't be
  • starter tips for a pot limit omaha
    I haven't read a single PLO book lol so that tells you that you don't have to read a book to learn.

    You need to read the posts on the Omaha Hi forum. Start playing at the lowest stakes for practice and post as many of your hands as possible on the omaha Hi forum so you can get input.

    General PLO rules to keep in mind
    #1 Starting hand selection: Not as key as it is in holdem
  • Limit Holdem can only be profitable with high stakes vs. no limit
    I play cash no limit (casino games, not online) pretty much exclusively, and I can honestly disagree with the OP almost entirely.

    The swings are not that bad - if you are a pretty good player and can make good decisions in the marginal spots. If you can't, you will get chewed up in
  • Cash game VS SnG
    To play a cash game well you have to play after the flop very well. You cant sit in a cash game and figure AK is always the best after the flop when you hit the K. In a tourny you often properly push this kind of hand hard. In a cash game, I'm salivating to play such a player. In cash your looking for hands that are better than 1 pair to get all your chips in. Even then you have to use rest
  • Is the hit and run strategy considered bad etiquette
    I have never played a live cash game, only small MTT. I play everything online: cash, SNG, MTT (but no heads-up table yet).

    However, especially online at home with all of the possible non-poker distractions, there are a whole bunch of reasons you might abruptly leave your game:
  • What stakes can i quit my job and live off poker
    A few things you might want to take into account:
    1. It's a lot harder to make money playing poker when you HAVE to make money playing poker.
    2. "I'm an on-line poker player." is not an answer to the "What do you do?" question that will cause women to get all hot and bothered.
    3. Multi-tabling is not a very enjoyable way to play poker.
  • When to call it quits
    Here's a few thoughts for OP and the many others like him.

    1)Poker is a game of decision making - not making money. Focus on improving your decisions - preflop, flop, turn, and river...I guarantee that you are weaker at some than others. Work on it

    2)Reading books is a great way to get the framework for how to play - but it is NOT everything. It is all about
  • How long did it take you to get good/profitable
    First, it's important to point out that I've always played a lot of cards. I was born and raised in Atlantic City and so playing cards, rummy and stud especially, go back for me as far as I can remember.

    Basically I didn't play for money, at until I was in my late teens (1993-1994 ish) and even then it wasn't for much and not very often. I could play several games reasonably well by the amateur standards of that time, although that wasn't saying much. I only played limit games though
  • Cashing in a re-buy without re-buying strategy
    You start with 1500 chips for the first $3. Anytime you are at T1500 or less, you can rebuy T1500 for $3 (this means if you are at T0, you can reload to T3000 for $6). At the end of level 4 (one hour), all players may addon T2000 for a final $3. At this point, the rebuys are done and the tournament becomes a traditional freezeout (lose all your chips and you go home).
  • Are microstakes beatable
    1. Don't bluff -- ever.
    2. Play from a starting hand set.
    3. Learn to fold top pair and two pair to multiway action when oop.
    4. Don't worry about bad beats, they happen to EVERYONE.
    5. Bad beats
  • How to Play Luckbox Fishes
    with just one pair I lean towards 70-80% bets (pot ok) on flop and I like to overbet the pot against the fish to get rid of him on the turn. Many of these players won't call with only 1 card to come. You said you "know" he would but I doubt that you really do. If you had an error free crystal ball you'd not have been on this bad run lately.
  • Shortstack strategy
    It all comes down to hand ranges. Guys who buy in deep, they're playing to stack the other deep stacks at the table. Sure they play the premium pairs aggressivly, but those hands only come around every so often. Most of the time these guys are getting into pots with suited connectors, suited aces or small pairs. They're trying to flop either a monster made hand or a monster draw so they can take another guy's whole stack.
  • How to Find Some One Who Will Spot You?
    I run into lots of 20 somethings (16 to 28 lets say). They are all tough good players in thier own mind. It's only a matter of time before they are busted however. There is a reason the military takes 18 to 24 year olds and teaches them to go running over a hill screaming with a riffle into the teeth of death. It's because they are at the right age to mold and the natural aggression and confidence is overbrimming. That is what I read in the above posts
  • Starting out with $100
    People don't just raise 20BB preflop and everyone calls and gets all in every hand. You must have no experience at these levels. I have thousands of hands at Stars and UB at these levels, and the play is bad, and there are some crazies that just shove, but that's great. Wait for a hand that's better than their range and call. Make sure you have 20 buyins, although I'd recommend more, and you can take some beats. When
  • how to find some 1 who will spot you?
    I run into lots of 20 somethings (16 to 28 lets say). They are all tough good players in thier own mind. It's only a matter of time before they are busted however. There is a reason the military takes 18 to 24 year olds and teaches them to go running over a hill screaming with a riffle into the teeth of death. It's because they are at the right age to mold and the natural aggression and confidence is overbrimming. That is what I read in the above posts.

    I'd say about 50% of my win comes from young male players in this catagory. They see everybody as below them and just know they can win by pushing these poor weak suckers around. It's easy and natural for them to view the competition with contempt. We'll overplaying your hand and overbluffing only lasts so long.
  • What are the odds? How the casinos accomplish their money
    Given the contempt legislation changes in the USA, I anticipate it alone
    prudent to alpha this commodity with my own angle (if you don't
    agree with them, you're acceptable to stop reading!). Bank in
    itself is not immoral. So continued as the charlatan is in ascendancy and
    is alone spending 'leisure' money, it is no added abandoned than
  • Top 5 Mistakes When Playing Texas Holdem
    here are a cardinal of EXPENSIVE mistakes that you are best
    likely authoritative in your poker bold RIGHT NOW.
    I'm activity to go over the top 5 mistakes that best bodies accomplish
    and explain how you can activate to not alone FIX them appropriate away,
    but you can alpha to booty advantage of the added players who are
    making these mistakes.
  • Poker Strategy
    The aftereffect of a poker bold may be bent by some factors,
    the best important of which are the absolute bulk of arena
    money that you accept on duke and your desire, action to win
    the bold and some approved and activated poker strategies on how to
    best win the game.
    When you appetite to win your poker game, you accept to absolutely apprentice
  • Poker Minimum Deposits - Do's and Don'ts.
    Many players like to accomplish a minimum drop back they accessible an
    account at a new online poker room. This makes acceptable sense. There
    are lots of affidavit why you wouldn't appetite to put a lot of money
    into a new room.
    The allowance could be a scam, and you ability never see your money
    again. In absoluteness though, there are actual few '

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